Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 12.898923 14.478948 16.191628 18.188437 20.455639 22.953349 25.918290
2025-04-06 10.254877 12.285666 14.646809 17.603883 21.220908 25.517089 31.030381
2025-04-13 8.416514 10.676408 13.471570 17.203087 22.084488 28.294336 36.858412
2025-04-20 7.304911 9.767468 12.992824 17.563817 23.935187 32.589288 45.384001
2025-04-27 6.448172 9.050234 12.643677 18.028622 25.997237 37.517189 55.728447
2025-05-04 5.670317 8.318519 12.157604 18.215413 27.694240 42.225968 66.710207
2025-05-11 4.895438 7.473328 11.377977 17.835763 28.471591 45.687783 76.476853
2025-05-18 4.277141 6.773864 10.712430 17.518657 29.281963 49.330494 87.291456
2025-05-25 3.774148 6.184390 10.133044 17.243236 30.103705 53.123027 99.163271
2025-06-01 3.375226 5.710180 9.673979 17.094920 31.112144 57.410592 112.875623
2025-06-08 3.050011 5.317282 9.297506 17.029882 32.252984 62.136172 128.491451
2025-06-15 2.855377 5.128168 9.253262 17.568700 34.635810 69.709457 151.793299
2025-06-22 2.605001 4.812435 8.948101 17.585272 36.038858 75.686126 173.372910
2025-06-29 2.337240 4.430445 8.467689 17.178588 36.494379 79.749541 191.603395
2025-07-06 2.118406 4.116101 8.078335 16.901120 37.185014 84.487284 212.777784
2025-07-13 1.995251 3.977485 8.025047 17.339873 39.584625 93.733394 248.252555
2025-07-20 1.891093 3.864681 8.010097 17.862390 42.286009 104.314888 290.525269
2025-07-27 1.772729 3.707160 7.878427 18.094902 44.325240 113.666694 332.126014
2025-08-03 1.623349 3.464593 7.528432 17.752072 44.837843 119.071126 363.410236
2025-08-10 1.493841 3.251301 7.218351 17.461070 45.439649 124.876360 397.876413
2025-08-17 1.380088 3.060941 6.938218 17.204254 46.093341 130.998915 435.470795
2025-08-24 1.285120 2.903561 6.717297 17.069078 47.071595 138.339208 479.895538
2025-08-31 1.203678 2.769198 6.536056 17.013455 48.277873 146.692118 531.045970